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NVDA · Q3 FY2027 Data Center Revenue

DCREVTrading

NVIDIA Corporation · Semiconductors · settles in USDC

Trading closes in
72d 21h
Nov 18, 2026, 21:30 UTC
Market-implied data center revenue?Inverted from the current LONG price through this market's settlement curve. Shown as an exact figure only where the price maps to a unique metric value.
$57.92B
+5.30% implied surprise
Reference value
$55.00B

The benchmark this market prices surprises against. Fixed at creation and immutable.

Long price
$0.6590

Pays up to $0.9600

Short price
$0.3410

Pays up to $0.9600

Liquidity
$1.11M

1,620,000.00 sets open interest

Settlement payoff

What one claim is worth at every possible reported data center revenue

7d LONG price
$0.00$0.25$0.50$0.75$1.00REFERENCEIMPLIED$44.0B$49.5B$55.0B$60.5B$66.0B
LONG settlementSHORT settlement
if reported at $57.92BL $0.6590S $0.3410

Price history

LONG price and the metric expectation it implies

$0.64$0.69$0.75Sep 1now
LONG price $0.6590implies $57.92BHover to inspect

What this market settles against

Data Center segment revenue for the quarter, as disclosed in the revenue-by-market-platform table of NVIDIA's Q3 FY2027 earnings release.

How the payout is calculated

Settlement is a pure function of the reported figure. There is no discretion at resolution: given the number, anyone can compute the outcome and reproduce it exactly.

// 1. clamp the reported value into the priced domain
bounded   = clamp(reported, $44.00B, $66.00B)

// 2. normalise against the reference value
score     = (bounded − $55.00B) ÷ $55.00B

// 3. map onto the LONG share of collateral
longShare = clamp(0.50 + 3.00 × score, $0.0400, $0.9600)
shortShare = 1.00 − longShare
Reference value
$55.00B

The benchmark this market prices surprises against. Fixed at creation and immutable.

Leverage factor
3.00×

LONG share moves this much per 1.00 of proportional surprise.

Priced domain
$44.00B to $66.00B

Reported values outside this range settle at the nearest bound.

Payout range
$0.0400 to $0.9600

Hard floor and cap per claim. Neither side can ever be worth nothing or everything.

Fully priced region

Between $46.57B and $63.43B the payoff responds continuously to the size of the surprise. Beyond those points each side is pinned to its clamp, so a price sitting on a clamp no longer implies a single metric value, and the interface says “approx” rather than printing a fabricated number.

Methodology

The first segment-level market on Tranch. Segment revenue is disclosed as a discrete line item, which makes it objectively settleable while isolating a specific business driver rather than the whole company.

Buying routes through the protocol: your collateral is split into both claims, and the side you did not want is sold into the pool for more of the side you did.
USDCYou pay
0
0.0000USDC~$0.00
NVDA-DCREV-LYou receive
0
0.0000holding~$0.00 at current price
Market price$0.6590
Max settlementThe highest value one claim can settle at, set by this market's payout cap.$0.9600
Protocol fee0.00%

Settles against the reported figure on Nov 18, 2026. Payouts are capped at $0.9600 and floored at $0.0400 per claim.