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NVDA

NVDA · Q3 FY2027 EPS

EPSTrading

NVIDIA Corporation · Semiconductors · settles in USDC

Trading closes in
72d 21h
Nov 18, 2026, 21:30 UTC
Market-implied eps?Inverted from the current LONG price through this market's settlement curve. Shown as an exact figure only where the price maps to a unique metric value.
$1.28
+2.02% implied surprise
Reference value
$1.25

The benchmark this market prices surprises against. Fixed at creation and immutable.

Long price
$0.5810

Pays up to $0.9800

Short price
$0.4190

Pays up to $0.9800

Liquidity
$850.28K

1,180,000.00 sets open interest

Settlement payoff

What one claim is worth at every possible reported eps

7d LONG price
$0.00$0.25$0.50$0.75$1.00REFERENCEIMPLIED$0.9$1.1$1.3$1.4$1.6
LONG settlementSHORT settlement
if reported at $1.28L $0.5810S $0.4190

Price history

LONG price and the metric expectation it implies

$0.52$0.58$0.64Sep 1now
LONG price $0.5810implies $1.28Hover to inspect

What this market settles against

Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share for the quarter, as stated in the reconciliation table of NVIDIA's Q3 FY2027 earnings release.

How the payout is calculated

Settlement is a pure function of the reported figure. There is no discretion at resolution: given the number, anyone can compute the outcome and reproduce it exactly.

// 1. clamp the reported value into the priced domain
bounded   = clamp(reported, $0.94, $1.56)

// 2. normalise against the reference value
score     = (bounded − $1.25) ÷ $1.25

// 3. map onto the LONG share of collateral
longShare = clamp(0.50 + 4.00 × score, $0.0200, $0.9800)
shortShare = 1.00 − longShare
Reference value
$1.25

The benchmark this market prices surprises against. Fixed at creation and immutable.

Leverage factor
4.00×

LONG share moves this much per 1.00 of proportional surprise.

Priced domain
$0.94 to $1.56

Reported values outside this range settle at the nearest bound.

Payout range
$0.0200 to $0.9800

Hard floor and cap per claim. Neither side can ever be worth nothing or everything.

Fully priced region

Between $1.10 and $1.40 the payoff responds continuously to the size of the surprise. Beyond those points each side is pinned to its clamp, so a price sitting on a clamp no longer implies a single metric value, and the interface says “approx” rather than printing a fabricated number.

Methodology

Non-GAAP diluted EPS is used because it is the figure the company headlines and the market prices against. The specific reconciliation line is named in the settlement rules so there is no ambiguity between GAAP and non-GAAP at resolution time.

Buying routes through the protocol: your collateral is split into both claims, and the side you did not want is sold into the pool for more of the side you did.
USDCYou pay
0
0.0000USDC~$0.00
NVDA-EPS-LYou receive
0
0.0000holding~$0.00 at current price
Market price$0.5810
Max settlementThe highest value one claim can settle at, set by this market's payout cap.$0.9800
Protocol fee0.00%

Settles against the reported figure on Nov 18, 2026. Payouts are capped at $0.9800 and floored at $0.0200 per claim.