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NVDA · Q3 FY2027 Revenue

REVTrading

NVIDIA Corporation · Semiconductors · settles in USDC

Trading closes in
72d 21h
Nov 18, 2026, 21:30 UTC
Market-implied revenue?Inverted from the current LONG price through this market's settlement curve. Shown as an exact figure only where the price maps to a unique metric value.
$68.43B
+5.28% implied surprise
Reference value
$65.00B

The benchmark this market prices surprises against. Fixed at creation and immutable.

Long price
$0.6320

Pays up to $0.9500

Short price
$0.3680

Pays up to $0.9500

Liquidity
$1.78M

2,450,000.00 sets open interest

Settlement payoff

What one claim is worth at every possible reported revenue

7d LONG price
$0.00$0.25$0.50$0.75$1.00REFERENCEIMPLIED$52.0B$58.5B$65.0B$71.5B$78.0B
LONG settlementSHORT settlement
if reported at $68.43BL $0.6320S $0.3680

Price history

LONG price and the metric expectation it implies

$0.57$0.61$0.66Sep 1now
LONG price $0.6320implies $68.43BHover to inspect

What this market settles against

Total consolidated revenue for the quarter as stated on the face of NVIDIA's condensed consolidated statements of income in its Q3 FY2027 earnings release.

How the payout is calculated

Settlement is a pure function of the reported figure. There is no discretion at resolution: given the number, anyone can compute the outcome and reproduce it exactly.

// 1. clamp the reported value into the priced domain
bounded   = clamp(reported, $52.00B, $78.00B)

// 2. normalise against the reference value
score     = (bounded − $65.00B) ÷ $65.00B

// 3. map onto the LONG share of collateral
longShare = clamp(0.50 + 2.50 × score, $0.0500, $0.9500)
shortShare = 1.00 − longShare
Reference value
$65.00B

The benchmark this market prices surprises against. Fixed at creation and immutable.

Leverage factor
2.50×

LONG share moves this much per 1.00 of proportional surprise.

Priced domain
$52.00B to $78.00B

Reported values outside this range settle at the nearest bound.

Payout range
$0.0500 to $0.9500

Hard floor and cap per claim. Neither side can ever be worth nothing or everything.

Fully priced region

Between $53.30B and $76.70B the payoff responds continuously to the size of the surprise. Beyond those points each side is pinned to its clamp, so a price sitting on a clamp no longer implies a single metric value, and the interface says “approx” rather than printing a fabricated number.

Methodology

Total revenue is a single reported line item requiring no adjustment, reconciliation or non-GAAP judgement. It is the cleanest possible settlement input: two readers of the same press release will always agree on it.

Buying routes through the protocol: your collateral is split into both claims, and the side you did not want is sold into the pool for more of the side you did.
USDCYou pay
0
0.0000USDC~$0.00
NVDA-REV-LYou receive
0
0.0000holding~$0.00 at current price
Market price$0.6320
Max settlementThe highest value one claim can settle at, set by this market's payout cap.$0.9500
Protocol fee0.00%

Settles against the reported figure on Nov 18, 2026. Payouts are capped at $0.9500 and floored at $0.0500 per claim.